Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000904 0.001028 0.001159 0.001306 0.001468 0.001640 0.001836
2025-02-23 0.000702 0.000872 0.001064 0.001294 0.001562 0.001862 0.002221
2025-03-02 0.000608 0.000801 0.001029 0.001312 0.001654 0.002049 0.002535
2025-03-09 0.000507 0.000708 0.000954 0.001273 0.001669 0.002140 0.002736
2025-03-16 0.000430 0.000633 0.000891 0.001237 0.001678 0.002216 0.002913
2025-03-23 0.000380 0.000587 0.000860 0.001234 0.001725 0.002336 0.003142
2025-03-30 0.000340 0.000549 0.000833 0.001234 0.001772 0.002454 0.003368
2025-04-06 0.000301 0.000509 0.000801 0.001223 0.001801 0.002548 0.003565
2025-04-13 0.000265 0.000469 0.000764 0.001201 0.001813 0.002618 0.003730
2025-04-20 0.000247 0.000455 0.000762 0.001228 0.001891 0.002774 0.004009
2025-04-27 0.000229 0.000438 0.000755 0.001245 0.001955 0.002912 0.004267
2025-05-04 0.000205 0.000409 0.000728 0.001231 0.001973 0.002988 0.004443
2025-05-11 0.000181 0.000378 0.000695 0.001207 0.001976 0.003045 0.004595
2025-05-18 0.000167 0.000363 0.000687 0.001221 0.002034 0.003177 0.004853
2025-05-25 0.000154 0.000348 0.000677 0.001230 0.002084 0.003301 0.005100
2025-06-01 0.000134 0.000318 0.000641 0.001195 0.002067 0.003326 0.005209
2025-06-08 0.000116 0.000291 0.000606 0.001159 0.002047 0.003345 0.005310
2025-06-15 0.000106 0.000276 0.000591 0.001157 0.002077 0.003438 0.005515
2025-06-22 0.000096 0.000263 0.000579 0.001157 0.002109 0.003534 0.005727
2025-06-29 0.000087 0.000247 0.000561 0.001146 0.002125 0.003604 0.005902
2025-07-06 0.000077 0.000230 0.000539 0.001126 0.002123 0.003648 0.006038
2025-07-13 0.000073 0.000227 0.000542 0.001151 0.002196 0.003806 0.006345
2025-07-20 0.000068 0.000221 0.000541 0.001168 0.002255 0.003943 0.006623